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ARI Push #125 Monday, July 24, 2000
Week of July 17th 2000
SIGNIFICANT AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY NEWS & DEVELOPMENTS OF PARTICULAR
INTEREST TO FLEET MANAGEMENT EXECUTIVES
Significant Events
[1] Trucking Industry Challenges DOT Cost Estimates for HOS; Says Could
Reach $130B
[2] Safety Report Says Running Red Lights Leads to 800 Deaths Year
[3] Severe Auto Technician Shortage Reaches 60,000; Qualified Techs
Become Harder to Find
[4] Saturn Struggles Under GM; L-Series Suffers From Bland Look & Poor
Crash Results
[5] Rebates for Slow Sellers May Hurt Auto Industry; SUV Incentives Up
to 10%
[6] Safety Concerns With Seat Belt Extenders for Large People; Some
Automakers Won’t Provide
[7] DOT Study Flunks CDL Systems in Many States; Unsafe Drivers Still
Driving
[8] Lexus & Saturn Top JD Power Service Survey; Surprising Daewoo Ranks
4th
[9] Ford Identifies $1B Value After Implementing Best Practice
Replication Process; Presents Program @ GBC Meeting
[10] Complications Slow Down Airline’s New Mega-Website; Legal &
Technical Troubles
[11] DC Considers €2.2B Cost Cuts @ Stuttgart Headquarters; Similar Cuts
@ Auburn Hills HQ
[12] Toyota’s Certified Used Vehicle Program Sets Sales Record; Upscale
Vehicles Popular
[13] President Likely to Veto Ban on Ergonomics Standards
[14] Most Recent Internet Travel Bookings For Leisure Travel; Frequent
Business Travelers Let Corporate/Travel Dept. Book Trips
[15] Airport Construction Slows Down Car Rental Process; More
Frustration for Business Travelers
[1] Trucking Industry Challenges DOT Cost Estimates for HOS; Says Could
Reach $130B
Situation
- American Trucking Associations, National Private Truck Council &
Motor Freight Carriers Association conducting extensive surveys &
analysis to back up assertions HOS costs higher than DOT predicts
- Some raw data made public in hearings & comments submitted to DOT
- Donald Schneider, president of Schneider National, testified his
company’s costs would increase 20%
- Costs include $110M additional tractors, $95M additional trailer
costs & nearly $10M annually to pay for 100’s of additional drivers
Situation
- DOT estimates HOS rule cost $3.4B to implement
- Industry groups contend cost could reach $130B
Sourced from: Transport Topics, 7/13/00
[2] Safety Report Says Running Red Lights Leads to 800 Deaths Year
Situation
- Insurance Institute for Highway Safety report says 800+ people die
year in US because of drivers running red lights
- Additional 200,000 people injured
- Fatal crashes @ traffic signals increased 18% from ‘92 – ‘98 -- more
than 3-times rate of increase for all other fatal crashes during that
time
Significance
- IIHS endorses use of cameras, which photograph vehicles running red
lights & ticket violators by mail
- Camera programs, used in @ 40 US communities, reduce red-light
running by about 40%
- Privacy advocates, including American Civil Liberties Union,
expressed concerns about how cameras used
Read Background Info & Statistics & Quotes
fleethttp://www.automotivedigest.com/member/news/view_curr_list.asp?mod=fleet
Websites
http://www.highwaysafety.org/
http://www.associatedpress.com/
Sourced from: Associated Press, 7/13/00
[3] Severe Auto Technician Shortage Reaches 60,000; Qualified Techs
Become Harder to Find
Situation
- Comment from Bob Kealey, field consultant, Dealer Service Corp. in
Boca Raton, FL
- Soon, franchised new-vehicle dealers may not be able to service
vehicles they sell
- National shortage of technicians = 60,000
- Competition stiff, even airlines recruiting auto dealer technicians
- Vehicles more complex as older technicians retire & manufacturer’s
certification programs become tougher
- Technician moves from “laborer” to “knowledge worker”; Peter Drucker
calls “technologists”
Significance
- Shops hang on to poor performers just to fill positions
- High-potential youngsters not becoming auto technicians due to
“grease monkey” label
- Poor-performing students sometimes dumped in “manual trades”
- Dealers must not rely on manufacturer programs for technicians’ pool
- Dealers must help develop viable technical school programs &
manufacturers provide easy access to training
- Must compete with benefits, working conditions & entry costs of other
fields, like computer technician
Read Background Info
http://www.automotivedigest.com/member/news/view_curr_list.asp?mod=fleet
Sourced from: Automotive News, 7/10/00, page 17
[4] Saturn Struggles Under GM; L-Series Suffers From Bland Look & Poor
Crash Results
Situation
- Saturn’s Trans-Atlantic L-series car emerged late in '99 with ho-hum
design after extended infighting
- New CEO, G. Richard Wagoner's Internet fixation misses internal
mistakes that hurt LS sedan, LW wagon
- Only 48,133 sold 1st half '00, 50% below target (production capacity)
- Opel Vectra platform's overhaul to accommodate Saturn plastic panels
unnecessary, doubled development cost to $900M as misfitting parts
arrived at assembly plant
- Crash-test ratings poor, front-end's redesigns pre-launch left bland
look compared to VW Passat, Ford Frais
- Upshot: Blending Saturn into GM, reversing former CEO, Roger B.
Smith's vision as independent running own show
Significance
- GM top brass, including Wagoner as president & COO, blew it,
demanding "soft" styling rather than trendy look of competitors
- Hopes that S-series compact owners from last 9-1/2 years upgrade,
regardless of appearance, mostly unsuccessful
- New aero-like front end rushed for '01-1/2, + small SUV off S-series
platform
- SUV should have emerged 5-years ago but GM heeded Chevy fears would
hurt Tracker
- Could have stayed real "contender," but now future of Saturn blurry
as GM 'de-Saturnizes Saturn"
Websites
http://www.detnews.com
http://www.dowjones.com
Sourced from: Wall Street Journal, 7/9/00, page A1 & Detroit News,
7/8/00, page 15
[5] Rebates for Slow Sellers May Hurt Auto Industry; SUV Incentives Up
to 10%
Situation
- US auto sales cooling down from recent all-time highs
- Sharp split emerges between leaders & laggards
- Analysts say it is "the best of times for vehicles in high demand,
the worst for older models”
- 3-years ago, average SUV incentive = 2.5% to 3% truck's price
- Big rebates don't necessarily create big sales
Significance
- Despite some hot new models, plenty of standbys cooling off
- Disparities may signal tougher times ahead for Detroit, especially if
rising rebates continue to crimp profits
- Carmakers' response to slow-sellers = slap on more rebates
- Today, SUV incentives = up to 10%
- GM throws money at market at phenomenal clip & continues to lose
market share
- Rebates & incentives take toll on bottom line
Read Background Info
http://www.automotivedigest.com/member/news/view_curr_list.asp?mod=manufacturing
Websites
http://www.businessweek.com
Sourced from: Business Week Online, 7/07/00
[6] Safety Concerns With Seat Belt Extenders for Large People; Some
Automakers Won’t Provide
Situation
- Some automakers refuse to sell seat belt extenders for large people
- Honda, Volkswagen, Subaru, Isuzu, Porsche, Kia & Hyundai do not offer
extenders
- Say they can't vouch for performance of seat belt extender in crash
- GM, Ford & DC provide seat belt extenders; Says their engineers
positive that people better off belted with extender than going without
- Some large people too embarrassed to request extender from car dealer
- NHTSA petitioned to review standards of factory-installed or
otherwise government-tested extended safety belts
Significance
- Seat belt extenders modify both belt & air bag systems affecting how
far person is away from air bag when belt tightens in crash
- 49 states have mandatory seat belt laws & police increasingly
ticketing unbelted drivers
- Americans heavier & larger than ever, so more people finding belts
that meet today's federal standard difficult, if not impossible, to wear
- NHTSA hasn't tested extenders; Sees no obstacle to offering longer
belts, as many automakers do
Read Background Info & Quotes
http://www.automotivedigest.com/member/news/view_curr_list.asp?mod=fleet
Sourced from: USA Today, 7/12/00, Page 1B
[7] DOT Study Flunks CDL Systems in Many States; Unsafe Drivers Still
Driving
Situation
- DOT report says many states allow unsafe truckers to continue to
drive
- Audit finds 6-of-9-states failed to suspend drivers’ licenses
convicted of major infractions in another state, such as drunken-driving
- DOT visited 9-states & District of Columbia, & requested data from 41
states
- Finds 7-of-9-states visited & DC + 15 states responding, allowed
commercial drivers avoid disqualification through special permits or
probationary licenses
- Report also shows communications system between states is not
properly used
Significance
- In sample, 17% of convictions not transmitted to other states within
90 days
- Also, some states recorded violations from other states, but did not
use them to trigger disqualification
- Truck driver involved in 3/99 train crash in Bourbonnais, Ill.,
killed 11 people was operating under probationary license
Read Background Info
http://www.automotivedigest.com/member/news/view_curr_list.asp?mod=fleet
Sourced from: Associated Press via NewsEdge Corporation, 7/10/00 via
individual.com
[8] Lexus & Saturn Top JD Power Service Survey; Surprising Daewoo Ranks
4th
Situation
- Lexus & Saturn dealers get best marks from consumers for servicing
vehicles, according to JD Power satisfaction survey
- Overall industry's average consumer satisfaction rating rose slightly
last year, from 683 to 692 out of 1,000 possible points
- 16-automakers ranked below industry average, including Ford, Toyota,
Nissan, Volkswagen & Jeep
- JD Power did not release scores of these 16 companies or explain why
they ranked below industry's average
- 22 vehicle brands performed above industry average
Significance
- Lexus takes top honors in study for 9 out of past 10 years
- Saturn = most-improved automaker, rising 6-places in rankings
- Saturn tends to have few service problems, so excels at getting
customers in & out quickly
- Korean automaker Daewoo ranked 4th, behind BMW & ahead of Volvo, in
1st year eligible for study
- Daewoo's free maintenance program that covers such items as oil
changes for 1st 3-years helped its rankings
- Dealers improving repair services to compete with independent
companies, oil change shops
BRAND & SCORE
>>>Lexus = 811
>>>Saturn = 807
>>>BMW = 783
>>>Daewoo = 778
>>>Volvo = 769
>>>Cadillac = 766
INDUSTRY AVERAGE = 698
Read Background Info & Quotes
http://www.automotivedigest.com/member/news/view_curr_list.asp?mod=dealer
Websites
http://www.detnews.com
Sourced from: Associated Press via NewsEdge Corp., 7/13/00 & Detroit
News,
[9] Ford Identifies $1B Value After Implementing Best Practice
Replication Process; Presents Program @ GBC Meeting
Situation
- Best Practices, LLC hosts Summer Meeting of Global Benchmarking
Council (GBC), August 9-11 @ 4-Seasons Hotel in Palm Beach, FL
- Attendees participate in interactive presentations from companies
including Intel, Boeing, Ford, Motorola & JD Edwards
- Guests also share collective experience of member organizations
including Cisco Systems, GM, QUALCOMM, Dell, AT&T, Lucent, Nokia,
DuPont, Bell Atlantic, GTE & Pfizer Pharmaceuticals
Growth expert to discuss Ford’s Best Practice Replication process
Significance
- Ford's Best Practice Replication process was one of 1st-knowledge
management applications patented & licensed as Intellectual Property
- For 3+ years, Ford successfully employs Best Practice Replication
process to collect & share proven practices internally
- Ford identifies nearly $1B of value resulting from implementing
replication process across 20 global communities
Read Background Info & Quotes
http://www.automotivedigest.com/member/news/view_curr_list.asp?mod=manufacturing
Websites
http://www.globalbenchmarking.com/
http://www.ford.com/
http://www.individual.com/
http://www.prnewswire.com/
Sourced from: PRNewswire, 7/6/00 via individual.com, 7/7/00
[10] Complications Slow Down Airline’s New Mega-Website; Legal &
Technical Troubles
Situation
- Airline industry Website, code named “T2” delayed due to technical &
legal complications
- Site now called “Orbitz”
- Launch probably in fall instead of original slate for early summer
- Organizational challenge to build technical infrastructure to handle
most-ambitious-yet travel Website, millions of air, hotel, car, & cruise
rates
- Orbitz comes under Senate Commerce Committee scrutiny in late July
- Justice Dept. may also conduct formal investigation before allowing
Orbitz to move forward
Significance
- High stakes for travel agents, who vehemently oppose Orbitz, &
airlines
- Airlines want lower distribution costs; travel agents fear being cut
out of even more booking revenue
- Other major sites (Travelocity & Expedia) worried; initiates critical
debate on controversial venture
- Justice delays unveiling of Big-3 e-commerce site & looking at Orbitz
through similar lens
- Feds worried Orbitz gives major airlines inside look at how
competitors manage pricing, inventory & other critical information
- Could throw off competition
Websites
http://www.twcrossroads.com
http://www.thestandard.com
Sourced from: Travel Weekly, 6/15/00, page 1& The Industry Standard,
6/26/00, page 94
[11] DC Considers €2.2B Cost Cuts @ Stuttgart Headquarters; Similar Cuts
@ Auburn Hills HQ
Situation
- DC considers ways to cut costs at twin headquarters in Stuttgart &
Auburn Hills
- Wants to reduce administration costs but no decisions or concrete
plans yet
Significance
- DC expects to cut administrative costs in Stuttgart by 25% or 2.2B
euros over 2-years
- Expects to save similar sum at group's US headquarters in Auburn
Hills, Michigan
- Fears among employees of possible job cuts
Websites
http://www.reuters.com
Sourced from: Reuters, 07/07/00
[12] Toyota’s Certified Used Vehicle Program Sets Sales Record; Upscale
Vehicles Popular
Situation
- Toyota announces best May ever for Certified Used Vehicle program
- 27th consecutive monthly sales record; 15th month sales have exceeded
10K vehicles
- May sales = 13,866; up 20.8% compared to May ‘99
- January to May sales = 65,280, up 39.3% over same period ‘99
Significance
- Certified programs among upscale vehicles remain popular
- Fueled by manufacturer vehicle repurchase programs & off lease
volumes
Websites
http://www.automtive-fleet.com
http://www.toyota.com
http://www.automotive-fleet.com/newspick.cfm?rank=200
Sourced from: Automotive Fleet, 06/27/00
[13] President Likely to Veto Ban on Ergonomics Standards
Situation
- House & Senate votes stopped funding for proposed ergonomics
standards starting 10/1/00
- Lawmakers do not want proposal; White House has drawn line in sand
- President Clinton expected to veto bill
Significance
- Standards affect hundreds of thousands of workers in trucking, from
assembly lines to docks to cabs
Read Background Info & Quotes
http://www.automotivedigest.com/member/news/view_curr_list.asp?mod=fleet
Sourced from: Transport Topics, 7/12/00
[14] Most Recent Internet Travel Bookings For Leisure Travel; Frequent
Business Travelers Let Corporate/Travel Dept. Book Trips
Situation
- About 1/3 Internet savvy frequent travelers book all travel on Web
- Travel industry survey shows @ 71% of this group’s most recent trips
= leisure purposes
- Business travel = 58% of most recent trips; for travelers who book on
Web & traditional travel agencies
- Web-only travel bookers tend to be younger than average frequent
travelers
Significance
- Frequent business travelers still prefer to let corporate agency or
travel department handle their arrangements
- Probably busier than frequent Web travel bookers & don't want to
invest time to book own travel
- Major concern to large & small travel agencies, trying to develop
effective e-commerce strategies
- As younger travelers age & do more business travel, industry must
respond with Web booking tools & adapt travel agent/counseling services
to this audience
Sourced from: Travel Weekly, 7/6/00, page 1
[15] Airport Construction Slows Down Car Rental Process; More
Frustration for Business Travelers
Situation
- Major airports move toward building consolidated car rental
companies, reeking havoc with customers
- Car rental customers having trouble finding new facilities when
returning cars, or getting caught in congestion from facilities
construction
- Travelers barely making flights & feeling grumpy because of new
difficulties
- Dallas & San Francisco recently unveil consolidated car rental
facilities, like other major airports
- About 22 other major airports have consolidated facility plans on
drawing board
Significance
- Consolidated facilities = where all RACs are merged & squeezed into
parking lot or similar facilities & trend with major US airports
- Disrupts seamless travel experience, especially for frequent business
travelers, who are used to quick & efficient rental car pick-ups
- Major companies like Hertz & Avis have more trouble distinguishing
high service levels from competitors with consolidated facilities
- Some have common shuttle buses, monorails, or people movers, taking
away shuttle bus customer service opportunity
- This frustration just adds to list for frequent business travelers
- All comes from increasing traveler traffic pushing limits of airports
Websites
http://www.wsj.com
Sourced from: Wall Street Journal, 6/23/00, page W6